My mood has brightened since my last post, which was gloomy about the recent data on the spread of coronavirus in Britain. Nonetheless, I think the easing of the lockdown is premature, for reasons set out below. Let me reiterate: I'm an economist, not an epidemiologist. Furthermore, you should never believe a forecast, especially not [...]
I think the relaxations in the lockdown are premature. Here is why: Hospital admissions in London are going up And in England as a whole, hospital admissions are rising slightly: UPDATE 8pm Here is the same graph with another day's data - the admissions continue to rise: 2. The number of reported deaths is up, [...]
I am worried that the UK Government is easing the lockdown too soon, and I am going to continue to be very careful in the coming weeks. Here's why. I am not a doctor or an epidemiologist: I'm an economist. That means I don't know about the biology (but I can read statistics pretty well.) [...]
President Trump's decision to cut funding to the World Health Organisation calls for a "Love Actually" moment. There is a precedent. One of George W. Bush's first acts as president in 2006 was to reinstate the "global gag rule" which withdrew US aid from organisations that counsel women about abortions or to advocate for liberalized [...]
David Mepham, who died this week, has a strong claim to be the person who did most to bring about the establishment of the UK's Department for International Development.
Donors are considering a proposal for a new “innovative finance mechanism” to increase funding for education, based on recommendations from Gordon Brown’s Education Commission. We agree that we need to finance an expansion of education in the developing world. But sadly, the International Finance Facility for Education (IFFEd) proposal is too good to be true.
A list of announcements that for the first time in history we can eradicate poverty.
Theresa May says that citizens' rights are her first priority. She means that her first priority is to curtail them.
This is a good round-up of the rights that EU citizens living in the UK seem likely to lose, notwithstanding the government's protestations that their rights will be largely unchanged. I list them here, but they are better explained in the article. The right to go abroad The right to fall in love with a [...]
How dare religious zealots impose their wicked views on the rest of us?